18.03.2025 11:52
While the crypto world is making predictions of $180,000 for Bitcoin by the end of 2025, Tezos co-founder Arthur Breitman points out two major risks facing the market. Breitman emphasizes that a potential recession in the U.S. economy, along with the cyclical nature of the crypto sector itself, poses a threat to the markets.
While the majority of analysts predict that the bull market will continue until the end of 2025 and that Bitcoin will rise to $180,000, Tezos co-founder Arthur Breitman points out two major risk factors. The U.S. economy entering a recession and the crypto sector's inward-looking cyclical structure pose significant risks for Bitcoin. Despite the recent market correction, analysts expect Bitcoin to peak after the third quarter of 2025.
U.S. Recession Indicators Threaten the Cryptocurrency Market
Despite recent market corrections, analysts believe Bitcoin will peak in the $160,000-$180,000 range after the third quarter of 2025. However, the founder of Tezos emphasizes that the main danger lies within the sector itself, in addition to external economic factors. According to Breitman, the fact that DeFi only finances itself and that tokens are purchased solely for speculation poses a serious risk for the crypto market, unlike traditional exchanges that are based on revenue-generating businesses.
Most crypto analysts expect the bull cycle to continue until the end of 2025. Bitcoin price predictions range from $160,000 to over $180,000.
Tezos co-founder Arthur Breitman stated that the biggest risk in the crypto sector is its cyclical economic structure. Breitman added, "Within the sector, the main risk is that the sector is still in search of fundamentals. Everything is still very cyclical."
Breitman particularly criticizes the DeFi sector. He stated, "The purpose of DeFi is to finance something, but if the only thing DeFi finances is more DeFi, then this is cyclical. This creates a sharp contrast with the stock market, which is based on revenue-generating businesses."
The recent memecoin crashes also highlight the state of the crypto economy. Solana experienced over $485 million in outflows in February following a recent wave of memecoin fraud.
Macroeconomic concerns also threaten the crypto markets. Breitman noted, "There are a lot of optimistic winds for the market, but there are also many traditional recession indicators that have been flashing for a while. So you can't ignore that."
Cryptocurrency markets are still trading with significant correlation to technology stocks. This means that a recession could lead to widespread selling. U.S. President Donald Trump's import tariffs have reignited concerns about a potential recession.
According to Polymarket data, more than 40% of market participants predict a recession in the U.S. this year. This figure was only estimated to be 22% on February 17.