22.10.2026 16:10
After the third week of Champions League matches, the chances of Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe reaching the round of 16 were recalculated. According to Football Meets Data's simulations, Galatasaray were given a 26% chance and Fenerbahçe a 14% chance.
After the third week of matches in the Champions League, Galatasaray’s and Fenerbahçe’s chances of reaching the round of 16 were recalculated. According to Football Meets Data’s simulations, Galatasaray were given a 26 percent chance and Fenerbahçe a 14 percent chance.
OUR REPRESENTATIVES’ CHANCES OF ADVANCING WERE CALCULATED
The third week of the league phase in the UEFA Champions League has been completed. Following the results, the sports data analysis platform Football Meets Data updated the teams’ chances of advancing to the round of 16. The shared calculations also included the chances of Turkey’s representatives Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe reaching the round of 16.
GALATASARAY HAVE A 26 PERCENT CHANCE
Galatasaray, who secured their first win in the competition by beating Lille 4-2 away, finished the third week in 23rd place with 3 points. The red-and-yellows’ chances of advancing to the round of 16 directly or via the play-offs were calculated at 26 percent.
FENERBAHÇE’S CHANCE IS 14 PERCENT
Fenerbahçe, who could not preserve their 2-0 lead against Slavia Prague at home and left the match with a 2-2 draw, were in 31st place with 2 points after three matches.
In the simulations, the yellow-navy team’s chances of reaching the round of 16 were set at 14 percent. This rate was 12 percentage points behind the chance calculated for Galatasaray. The news reporting the odds
REAL MADRID AND PSG AT THE TOP
In the shared table, Real Madrid and Paris Saint-Germain shared first place with a 99 percent chance of reaching the round of 16. Barcelona and Arsenal were given 95 percent, and Liverpool 92 percent.
Bayern Munich’s chance was calculated at 85 percent and Manchester City’s at 82 percent. They were followed by Aston Villa at 76 percent, Real Betis at 73 percent, and Atletico Madrid at 71 percent. These rates show not the probability of winning the title but the teams’ likelihood of reaching the round of 16.