Foreign Minister Fidan: We need to assess the Israel-Iran war as a high probability.

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Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan made important statements regarding the agenda during a live broadcast he attended. Evaluating the possibility of a potential war between Israel and Iran, Minister Fidan said, "We need to assess this as a high probability. We need to be prepared as a country and region for this."

Key points from Minister Fidan's statements are as follows; "From the moment the war started, we had made our historical warnings. We were saying that this war would not stay here, it would go further and cause fractures along fault lines. We see that this is continuing to increase moment by moment. It is not right for us to accept (the news of Sinwar's death) until there is confirmation from Hamas."

"GAZA HAS BEEN TURNED INTO AN OPEN-AIR GRAVEYARD"

Unfortunately, Gaza has been turned into an open-air graveyard where tens of thousands of people have been subjected to genocide. It has become unlivable for people. 2 million people are squeezed into a very small area, struggling with hunger and thirst, and all of this is happening unfortunately in front of the eyes of all humanity. The international system and law have become completely blind, silent, and deaf. The Netanyahu government's refusal to accept a ceasefire has led to more casualties. We had already anticipated that Netanyahu would target all military objectives he has for himself.

"ISRAEL'S ATTACK ON LEBANON WAS NOT A SURPRISE FOR US"

In every deeply sensitive discussion, there are two aspects: what you think and what you say. (In the conversation with Nasrallah) my final assessment was that Hezbollah would not launch a comprehensive attack, but would only continue its military operations in Gaza and that a second front would not open. We also knew that Israel was planning to eliminate threats, starting with Hamas, then Hezbollah, and later the Houthis. Israel's attack on Lebanon was not a surprise for us. After October 7, the biggest concern in the first three weeks was that the war would not spread. We did not want a front to open, nor did we want the idea of focusing on Gaza first and then turning to another place, but it seems that Israel is doing what it aimed for.

"TURKEY IS MAKING VERY SERIOUS WARNINGS"

We are currently facing intertwined events. On one hand, there is the genocide in Gaza, on the other hand, there is Lebanon, and there is the possibility of a potential war with Iran. Each has its own dynamics. We are aware of all of them. Firstly, before this war in the region, many states actually had problems with Iran and its elements. The intertwining of this issue with the Palestinian issue is a great misfortune. When it came to Lebanon, they did not show that sensitivity. Sharing our analyses is important, but more importantly, many states are in a position where they cannot take a stance. Turkey is making very serious warnings, sending messages, and sharing issues that are not appropriate to be declared.

THE POSSIBILITY OF WAR BETWEEN ISRAEL AND IRAN

We need to assess this as a high probability. We need to be prepared as a country and region for this. The spread of war in the region is not something we desire. For the last 20 years, we have had a significant focus on ending the war in our Middle Eastern geography, which has been subjected to occupation and destruction. There should be no war for the stability and security of the peoples of the region. If Iran conducts its legitimate defense, that is also its right.

"TURKEY HAS BEEN IN A CIRCLE OF FIRE FOR 20 YEARS"

The fundamental issue is not to leave the state and the nation alone with any surprises. Secondly, we need to be in a position to respond when the time comes. We can say that our capacity increase and advanced moves in security and intelligence place Turkey at a high level in predicting developments in the world. When you are not faced with surprises, it is important to prevent a crisis if possible, and if you cannot, to either not be affected by it at all or to minimize the impact on your country. It is important to place this within a larger strategy and manage it without giving a sense of extraordinary circumstances to the public. Whether political or technological, all developments indicate more division and polarization. There are parties that express reasonable views as well. Under the leadership of our President, we are focused on reflecting the stance of our nation both to the region and to domestic politics, ensuring both stability and peace for the benefit of nations. Turkey has been in a circle of fire for 20 years and has managed to pass through it safely, rising like a monument. The actor just beyond our border in the region is also in search of more qualified cooperation.

"WE HAVE NO EYE ON ANYONE'S LAND"

We are fighting against terrorism; we have no eye on anyone's land, and they see this. We will continue to walk this path, but we are not alone in the world and the region. There are actors who want to focus on very different views. We want to closely observe all of this and continue on our path. The biggest problem in international relations is the unpredictability problem, and it is increasing more and more. Let's think about the extraordinary power matrix. Nation-states, newly emerging technologies, and actors are all within it, and they are further advancing and emerging. States that came into existence 20 years ago are more mature. Each power center is in pursuit of a little more growth and making space for itself. When we look at all of them, artificial intelligence has entered this field of technology, and what it tells us is that the international system, especially nation-states, feels the need to increase their regulations. They are in pursuit of creating a larger area of public safety.

CHINA-US COMPETITION

When considering who will dominate the international system, the distinction between China and the US and where it will head is really important. It is important what kind of relationship platform it will offer in its camp. We have various assessments. The US is a very good country in managing alliances. China currently does not have a type of relationship that can serve as an example in this regard. From now on, how will it position itself politically? Will it enter the military field? Will it use force? We will see. We see that it is entering political issues, especially in the Middle East.