23.05.2026 15:20
Social Security expert İsa Karakaş stated that SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees could receive a raise of around 18% in July. Karakaş noted that the possibility of a flat raise and a welfare share currently seems low.
While millions of citizens await the pension increase to be made in July, notable evaluations came from SGK expert İsa Karakaş. Karakaş spoke about the possible increase rates in pensions and the potential for an additional welfare share, based on information from Ankara's political circles.
“INCREASE RATE COULD REACH 18.58 PERCENT”
Karakaş stated that, according to cumulative inflation calculations, there is a possibility of an approximately 18.58 percent increase in the pensions of SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees. He noted that even in the worst-case scenario, the increase rate could be between 17.5 and 19.5 percent, and the exact figures will be clarified with the May and June inflation data.
UNCERTAINTY FOR THE MINIMUM PENSION
Karakaş expressed that the biggest question mark revolves around the "minimum pension" practice. He conveyed that there is talk of the government possibly working on a new model that would completely abolish this system and only provide support to retirees in need of social assistance, highlighting that this could fix millions of retirees at a certain pension threshold.
“FLAT-RATE INCREASE SEEMS UNLIKELY FOR NOW”
Speaking on the flat-rate increase and welfare share, which retirees are most curious about, Karakaş said expectations are currently low. He stated that, based on information from Ankara's political circles, the possibility of additional improvements appears weak due to global economic uncertainties caused by wars and budget discipline concerns.
EYES ON JUNE INFLATION
The exact increase rate to be applied in July will become clear after the May and June inflation data announced by TÜİK.