03.06.2026 12:30
Social Security Expert Özgür Erdursun announced the exact pension raise rates for retirees for July 2026 and January 2027, based on inflation forecasts. Stating that he expects an inflation difference of between 17 and 18 percent in July, Erdursun predicted that the lowest pension, currently 20,000 TL, will rise to the 22,750 - 23,000 TL range in July, and if year-end inflation reaches 30 percent, it will be a net 25,000 TL as of January 1, 2027.
Known for his accurate predictions in the social security field, SGK Expert Özgür Erdursun has shared his expectations regarding the July raise rates and the minimum pension that millions of retirees are eagerly awaiting. Pointing to the inflation data to be announced in the coming period, Erdursun gave clear figures for both July 2026 and January 2027.
INFLATION DIFFERENCE IN JULY...
Sharing his predictions shortly before the May inflation data is announced, Özgür Erdursun stated that he expects inflation to come in at a maximum of around 1.5 percent in May. Expressing that he expects an inflation rate of 1.3 percent in June, Erdursun emphasized that with these data combined, retirees will face an inflation difference of between 17 and 18 percent in July. With the TUIK data to be announced on Friday, the 5-month raise rate for retirees will also become clear.
TWO-STAGE ESTIMATE FOR THE MINIMUM PENSION
Responding to the question most wondered about during this period when millions are struggling to make ends meet—"How much will the minimum pension increase to?"—Erdursun, considering the current base pension and minimum pension practices, made the following predictions:
July 2026 Period: The minimum pension, currently hovering around 20,000 TL, is expected to rise to about 22,750 TL with the increase in July. Erdursun predicts this increase in July could reach at most the 23,000 TL band.
January 2027 Period: Drawing the scenario for next year if year-end inflation completes at around 30 percent, Erdursun said, "If year-end inflation comes out at 30 percent, unless an additional improvement is made before January 2027, there will be another increase of around 10 to 11 percent. With this calculation, the minimum pension, approaching 23,000 TL in July, will rise to 25,000 TL net as of January 1, 2027."
Erdursun concluded by stating that retirees can plan their budgets based on these rates, saying, "Whatever your pension is, you can now calculate your future salary with these rates."