12.11.2026 09:10
As the countdown continues for the January increase for millions of retirees, a new formula that will raise the lowest pension has emerged. According to the option reported to be under consideration, it is being evaluated to first apply a 10 percent inflation increase to the current lowest monthly pension of 23,552 TL, followed by an additional 5,000 TL increase. If this formula is implemented, the lowest pension will reach 30,907 TL. Along with the other options on the table, the possibility of an increase of up to 35,000 TL is also being evaluated.
New regulation options are being evaluated for millions of retirees awaiting the salary increase to be made in January. With the announcement of four months of inflation data, two data points remain before the increase rates are determined, and the additional increase formulas that the government is reportedly working on have also begun to become clear. According to Sabah columnist Faruk Erdem, in addition to the inflation difference, options such as a flat-rate raise, welfare share, and premium-based gradual increase are being considered.
TWO INFLATION DATA POINTS ARE AWAITED FOR THE JANUARY INCREASE
After the inflation figures for July, August, September, and October were announced, attention turned to the November and December data. Once the figures for the last two months of the year are also known, the inflation increase that retirees will receive in January will be finalized.
According to current expectations, it is calculated that SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees may receive an increase of approximately 10 percent, while civil servants and civil servant retirees may receive an increase of around 8 percent. However, these rates have not yet been finalized.
GRADUAL INCREASE FORMULA IN THE FLAT-RATE RAISE
In the improvements that could be made in addition to the inflation increase, the application of different criteria is being evaluated. While equal-rate increases were made in previous welfare share arrangements, it is stated that a gradual system is being worked on in the new flat-rate raise formula.
In this context, retirees' number of premium payment days, the amount of premiums they paid, and retirement conditions may be taken into account. Thus, the additional increases for those who retired by paying premiums for 3,600 days and based on the minimum wage may differ from those who paid high premiums for 7,000 days. In the formula being evaluated, it is envisaged that a retiree who paid more premiums will receive a higher additional payment.
THE LOWEST RETIREMENT SALARY MAY RISE TO 30-35 THOUSAND TL
Increasing the lowest retirement salary also stands out as one of the important topics in the work. It is calculated that the lowest retirement pension, currently applied as 23,552 TL, will rise to 25,907 TL with a 10 percent inflation increase.
However, the options being evaluated are not limited to the inflation increase alone. It is stated that formulas aimed at raising the lowest retirement salary to between 30 thousand and 35 thousand TL are also being considered.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF A FLAT-RATE RAISE OF 5 THOUSAND TL IS MADE?
According to the sample calculation, the current lowest retirement salary of 23,552 TL will rise to 25,907.20 TL with a 10 percent inflation increase. If a flat-rate increase of 5 thousand TL is added to this amount, the lowest monthly pension will reach 30,907.20 TL.
These figures do not yet represent a finalized raise decision, but rather the possible scenarios reportedly being worked on. For the regulation regarding the lowest retirement salary to be implemented, legal changes are required.
THE 10-15 PERCENT OPTION IN THE WELFARE SHARE
Another option being evaluated to increase retirees' incomes is the welfare share. According to Faruk Erdem, giving a welfare share of between 10 percent and 15 percent, similar to practices in past years, is among the alternatives on the table.
If the welfare share is added to the inflation increase, the raises are expected to be calculated on base salaries. For retirees whose base salary remains below the determined minimum pension, Treasury support will need to continue.
HOW WILL THE BASE SALARY AND TREASURY SUPPORT BE APPLIED?
In the current system, the difference is paid by the Treasury to those whose base salary remains below the lowest retirement pension. In the new regulation, if the base pension is increased, maintaining this support is being evaluated.
The exact raise rates that retirees will receive will become clear after the November and December inflation data are announced. Whether the additional raise, welfare share, and flat-rate increase options will be implemented will become clear through the evaluations to be made and decisions to be taken.