02.04.2025 15:51
Global markets are focused on the decision regarding tariffs that U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to announce today. It is estimated that if Trump implements the additional 25% tariffs and retaliatory measures follow, approximately $9.5 trillion of economic value could be at risk.
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The final link of the trade war will be woven with the customs decision coming from the USA. The decision to impose additional taxes on products imported from European Union countries by the USA, which is expected to deeply affect Transatlantic relations, threatens a significant economic asset.
$9.5 TRILLION AT GREAT RISK
The additional tax decision is expected to primarily affect investment decisions. This corresponds to a mass approximately three times the commercial volume that the parties obtain from the sale of goods. While commercial relations are disrupted, the slowdown of the service sector and investments is estimated to put around $9.5 trillion of economic volume at risk.
FOREIGN TRADE, SERVICE REVENUES, AND INVESTMENTS AT RISK
The economic relations between the USA and the European Union could be jeopardized after the deepening of the standoff. When the mutual trade volume, which was $1.3 trillion last year, is combined with $750 billion in service revenues, the figure increases significantly. While the sales of European subsidiaries in the USA exceed $3.5 trillion, the sales of US subsidiaries in Europe surpassed $4 trillion. With all these multipliers, the risk dimension of the US-European Union economic standoff reaches $9.5 trillion.
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