17.06.2026 12:00
After 107 days of war, Iran is preparing to achieve significant economic gains through the expected agreement with the United States. According to the draft text, the Tehran administration will regain access to $24 billion in frozen assets, generate approximately $300 billion in revenue from oil exports, and benefit from at least $300 billion in international financial support. This picture has strengthened interpretations that Iran is the economic winner of the war.
After 107 days of war, Iran, under severe economic pressure, is preparing to gain billions of dollars in resources through an expected agreement with the United States. The release of frozen assets, the opening of oil sales, and a financing plan worth hundreds of billions of dollars have raised the question, 'Was Iran the winner of the war?'
WAS IRAN THE WINNER OF THE 107-DAY WAR?
The interim agreement expected to be signed between Iran and the United States has caused widespread repercussions in the international public opinion due to the economic situation that emerged after the war. Iran, which faced serious economic difficulties due to sanctions before the war, is now poised to access billions of dollars in resources with the agreement.
According to the memorandum planned to be signed on Friday in the Bürgenstock region on the shores of Lake Lucerne in Switzerland, Iran is expected to regain access to its frozen assets.
FIRST STAGE: 24 BILLION DOLLARS
According to the draft agreement, Iran will recover its 24 billion dollars in frozen assets that it has been unable to access for years. However, experts note that this amount is just the beginning.
In the draft text obtained by Bloomberg, it is stated that sanctions on oil sales will be significantly relaxed in exchange for Iran ending its pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and reiterating its commitment to not acquire nuclear weapons.
EXPECTATION OF 300 BILLION DOLLARS IN OIL REVENUE
One of the most striking articles of the agreement is that Iran could make a strong return to global energy markets.
According to the draft, Iran is projected to generate approximately 300 billion dollars in revenue from oil exports in the coming years. Even the expectation of the agreement has impacted the markets, with the Iranian Rial gaining over 15% in the last week.
NEW EXEMPTIONS FROM THE US
Following the signing of the agreement, the US Treasury Department is expected to implement exemptions for Iran's crude oil and petrochemical product exports.
Additionally, it is aimed to remove some restrictions on Iranian ports and restore commercial activities in the Strait of Hormuz to pre-war levels.
This expectation has also affected energy markets. The price of Brent crude oil has sharply declined in recent days, falling below 78 dollars per barrel.
300 BILLION DOLLARS IN NEW FINANCING
Another notable item in the draft text is a financing package of at least 300 billion dollars planned for the reconstruction of Iran.
US President Donald Trump stated that the funds would not be directly covered by Washington but would be financed together with international partners.
Iranian Central Bank Governor Abdolnaser Hemmati said they demand full guarantees for access to the frozen funds.
TENSIONS IN THE REGION NOT FULLY RESOLVED
Despite the economic gains, not all problems in the region have been resolved. Particularly, tensions between Israel and Hezbollah and developments in Lebanon remain among the most important topics ahead of the negotiations.
Although the draft text envisions an end to conflicts in the region, the details of the final agreement are expected to be clarified in the coming period.
EYES ON THE FINAL AGREEMENT
The US states that critical issues such as the complete removal of sanctions and military arrangements in the region will be addressed in the final agreement, which is planned to be negotiated within two months.
However, looking at the current picture, Iran, which was in economic difficulties before the war, gaining billions of dollars in resources and new commercial opportunities through the agreement has led many circles to comment, 'Iran was the winner of the 107-day war.'