02.06.2026 09:50
In the analysis prepared by Opta with 10,000 simulations, the probability of the Turkish National Team winning the 2026 World Cup was calculated as 0.9 percent. Turkey's chances of reaching the quarterfinals were announced as 16.9 percent, reaching the semifinals as 7 percent, and reaching the final as 2.6 percent. Spain, on the other hand, was shown as the biggest favorite of the tournament with 16.1 percent.
Before the 2026 World Cup, Opta's supercomputer simulated the tournament 10,000 times. The calculations revealed the probabilities for the Turkish National Team reaching the quarter-finals, semi-finals, final, and winning the championship.
WORLD CUP EXCITEMENT BEGINS
The countdown is underway for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which will be co-hosted by the USA, Canada, and Mexico.
Ahead of the major tournament featuring 48 teams, football data company Opta published a striking analysis. After 10,000 simulations by the supercomputer, the championship probabilities for the teams emerged.
FAVORITE IS SPAIN
According to Opta's calculations, Spain was shown as the strongest favorite for the World Cup. Spain's probability of winning the cup was calculated at 16.1%. France follows with 13%, while England's championship chance was announced as 11.2%. The probability of the reigning world champion Argentina winning the cup again was determined at 10.4%.
TURKEY IN 21ST PLACE
The Turkish National Football Team ranked 21st in the championship favorites standings. The probabilities of the national team progressing in the tournament also attracted attention.
QUARTER-FINAL CHANCE 16.9%
According to Opta's simulation, Turkey's chance of reaching the quarter-finals was calculated at 16.9%. The probability of playing in the semi-finals was shown as 7%, and the chance of reaching the final as 2.6%.
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITY ANNOUNCED
The probability of the Turkish National Team winning the 2026 World Cup was announced as 0.9%. While this rate suggests that Turkey could be one of the tournament's surprise teams, it revealed that they are not among the favorites in the championship race.
NATIONAL TEAM'S OPPONENTS CONFIRMED
Turkey will compete in Group D at the 2026 World Cup. The Crescent-Star team will face the USA, Paraguay, and Australia in the group. The national team will play its first match of the tournament on June 14 against Australia.