Analysis of the Istanbul earthquake from the American press: "A major disaster of 7 or higher may be imminent."

Analysis of the Istanbul earthquake from the American press:

13.12.2025 00:58

A striking analysis regarding the anticipated major earthquake in Istanbul has been published in the American press. The article in the New York Times warns that the detected activity along the fault lines beneath the Sea of Marmara could lead to a destructive earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher. The report states that such an earthquake could be "one of the most severe humanitarian disasters in recent history."

The American press has issued a new earthquake warning for Istanbul. An analysis published in the New York Times (NYT) stated that the observed activity in the fault lines in the Sea of Marmara creates a "silent tension" that prepares Istanbul for "a major disaster."

Recent scientific findings reported by experts indicate that an earthquake of magnitude 7 or higher has become a serious threat to the millions of residents of the city.

FAULTS MOVING TOWARDS A LOCKED REGION

Geoscientist Dr. Robin George Andrews, who authored the analysis, drew attention to new research published in the scientific journal Science. The studies indicate that earthquakes on the Main Marmara Fault are moving towards a "locked" region, posing a serious risk for Istanbul, where approximately 16 million people live.

"EVEN A MAGNITUDE OF 6 WOULD CAUSE SEVERE DAMAGE"

Scientists emphasize that while the exact timing of an earthquake cannot be predicted, any earthquake of magnitude 6.0 or higher could cause significant damage in Istanbul. Experts point out that the risk is not limited to just a major earthquake, highlighting the city's vulnerable structure.

URBANIZATION AND BUILDING QUALITY INCREASE RISK

Seismologist Judith Hubbard from Cornell University states that irregular urbanization, high population density, and insufficient enforcement of building standards have made Istanbul even more vulnerable. According to Hubbard, scientific warnings in the region have been known for years, but the current construction in the city exacerbates the risk of disaster.

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