The 6.2 earthquake in Istanbul was predicted 20 days in advance! The new statement has eased hearts.

23.04.2025 17:21

In a statement regarding the consecutive earthquakes experienced in Istanbul, Earthquake Expert Prof. Dr. Şener Üşümezsoy said, "There is no longer a significant earthquake risk because the faults in the Sea of Marmara have already been broken." Üşümezsoy also mentioned that he had pointed out Silivri 20 days ago and stated that he was expecting an earthquake of magnitude 6-6.5.

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After the series of earthquakes that occurred off the coast of Silivri, Istanbul, Earthquake Expert Prof. Dr. Şener Üşümezsoy made evaluations.

Üşümezsoy stated that the earthquake that occurred today was not in Istanbul, saying, "Today, the earthquake was not in Istanbul, but in the Silivri Trench, which is kilometers away from Istanbul, on the Silivri fault. A 6.2 magnitude earthquake occurred today on the Silivri Fault, where the 5.7 magnitude earthquakes occurred in 2019. If you ask, 'Do these earthquakes trigger a major Istanbul earthquake?' I must say that this is the only fault in Marmara that carries risk. There is a risk of an earthquake of magnitude 6 to 6.5 on this fault," he said.

"ANOTHER 6.2 MAGNITUDE EARTHQUAKE MAY OCCUR"

Üşümezsoy mentioned that another 6.2 magnitude earthquake could occur, but it would not happen in the near future, stating, "Looking at history, the earthquake in Marmara occurred in 1894 south of the Çınarcık Trench, on the Çınarcık-Yalova line. In 1912, there was an earthquake in the Tekirdağ-Silivri Trench. The claim made by some experts that 'the entire Marmara will break' after 1999 is completely unfounded and a topic spoken of without knowledge. The fault line that has not broken here is the fault in Kumburgaz. There may be one more 6.2 magnitude earthquake. But this is not something that is imminent. Additionally, this fault does not have the potential to create a large earthquake extending westward or eastward to the Islands. There is also no significant earthquake risk on the Islands Fault," he said.

"CITIZENS SHOULD NOT PANIC"

Üşümezsoy expressed that citizens should not panic, stating, "Therefore, the only active fault that is not breaking in Marmara is this fault. Citizens should not panic. After this 6.2 magnitude earthquake, there may be aftershocks close to 4.5 magnitude. However, there is no problem of destruction caused by landslides in areas like Çekmece and Avcılar. The risk in these areas is landslides. When it is said that a major earthquake will occur in Istanbul, an earthquake has occurred in Istanbul. It broke westward starting from Yalova in 1894, and the largest earthquake occurred in 1894. Geologists, in a swollen manner, gave the biggest answer to the claim that 'there has been no earthquake since 1766, so it is imminent' by Murat Bardakçı and Erhan Afyoncu. The major earthquake in Istanbul was in 1894. Therefore, the saying that a major earthquake occurs every 250 years is completely thrown in the trash. In 1912, it broke in the Tekirdağ-Silivri trench, and the only fault that has not broken is not something that has continuous earthquakes. A fault breaks, then it solidifies and can break again," he said.

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"THERE IS NO LONGER A SIGNIFICANT EARTHQUAKE RISK"

Stating that there is no longer a significant earthquake risk, Üşümezsoy said, "For example, they said 'a major earthquake occurred in Santorini, the Aegean will sink,' but I said at that time: In 1956, there was a major earthquake of 7.7 in Santorini, which released three times the energy of the August 17 earthquake, but nothing significant happened afterward, and everyone fell silent. Since the faults in the Sea of Marmara have already broken, there is no longer a significant earthquake risk. The fault I mentioned is not the North Anatolian fault but a regional fault. The only fault that carries earthquake risk is the Silivri fault in the Silivri Trench. The point I mentioned that it can produce earthquakes between 6 and 6.5 has been exactly correct," he stated.

IT WAS REVEALED THAT HE WARNED 20 DAYS AGO

It was revealed that Üşümezsoy also warned 20 days ago, stating, "There may be an earthquake of 6.0 - 6.5 magnitude in Kumburgaz and Silivri. There, landslide-prone areas may be affected. In that sense, attention should be paid to it."