24.04.2025 00:31
The Director of the Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Prof. Dr. Nurcan Meral Özel, commented on the earthquake off the coast of Silivri, stating, "After this earthquake, there were two aftershocks greater than 5. The effects of a 6.1 magnitude earthquake can continue for 1.5 to 2 months."
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Boğaziçi University (BU) Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute Director Prof. Dr. Nurcan Meral Özel held a press conference at the BU Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute Regional Earthquake-Tsunami Monitoring and Evaluation Center following the 6.2 magnitude earthquake that occurred off the coast of Silivri, according to AFAD's data.
"IT SHOWS THAT ENERGY HAS BEEN RELEASED"
Presenting with visuals consisting of maps and graphs, Özel stated that today's earthquake occurred to the south of the earthquake that took place off Silivri in 2019, but on the same longitude. Özel noted that there have been nearly 100 earthquakes today as far as they could determine, saying, "After the 6.1 magnitude earthquake, there were two significant aftershocks. These are encouraging, of course, as they show that energy has been released. There were two earthquakes of 5.1 and 5.2. Additionally, 10 earthquakes greater than 4 occurred." she said.
"EARTHQUAKES OCCURRED WITHIN A 10-12 KILOMETER BAND"
Sharing information that the earthquake occurred right in the middle of the Central Marmara and Kumburgaz Fault Line, Özel expressed that the earthquakes occurred within a 10-12 kilometer band in Central Marmara and that they are carefully monitoring the situation. Özel mentioned that there are uncertainties regarding the dates and magnitudes of past earthquakes that occurred in the Sea of Marmara, stating that this situation weakens predictions about when and what magnitude of earthquake will occur in the Sea of Marmara.
"WE HAVE DETECTED SEA LEVEL RISES"
Özel explained that they are carefully monitoring all movements within the Sea of Marmara and that they have also detected sea level rises today. Stating that the observatory is trying to develop an early warning system as a pilot for a potential earthquake in Marmara, Özel noted that the system was activated during today's earthquake, which is encouraging.
"THE INTENSITY WAS MEASURED AS 8 AT SEA AND 4-5 ON LAND"
After her presentation, Özel answered questions from journalists. She explained that the earthquake occurred with an epicenter in the sea, and its intensity was measured as 8 at sea and 4-5 on land.
"THE ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE FOR 1.5-2 MONTHS"
Özel noted that the aftershocks of the 5.9 magnitude earthquake that occurred in 2019 lasted about 1.5 months, stating, "After this earthquake, there were two aftershocks greater than 5. The activity of a 6.1 magnitude earthquake may continue for 1.5-2 months, but this is an earthquake that occurred in the sea. It is debatable how much of this will be felt on the coasts. Right now, it may not be very easy to feel these earthquakes on land." she said.
"WE KNOW THE POSSIBILITY OF AN EARTHQUAKE, WE ARE SAYING IT"
In response to a journalist's reminder that earthquake experts have differing opinions on potential future earthquakes and asking whether the expected earthquakes would occur in the current location, Özel replied, "There is a Central Marmara and Kumburgaz segment. An earthquake activity occurred in a 10-12 kilometer area right in the middle of these two, and it is still continuing in the same place. We also know and are saying that there is a stress accumulation in the Kumburgaz and Islands fault lines, and that there is a possibility of an earthquake."
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