22.06.2026 12:31
The raise scenarios for retirees and civil servants struggling to make ends meet amid high inflation have begun to take shape. According to TÜİK data, cumulative inflation reached 16.60% in the first five months, and with June expectations, the six-month rate is projected to approach the 18% threshold. Based on a leaked legal regulation formula, the minimum retirement pension, currently set at 20,000 TL, is planned to be increased to 23,500 TL as of July.
Millions of retirees and civil servants struggling to make ends meet amid high inflation and the cost of living are keeping a close eye on the salary adjustment planned for July. With the inflation data for the first five months of 2026 becoming clear and June expectations emerging, new salary scenarios are beginning to take shape. According to the latest formula leaked to the press, the lowest retiree pension, which has been set at 20,000 TL since January, is planned to be increased to 23,500 TL in July.
5-MONTH INFLATION REACHED 16.60 PERCENT
According to the latest data released by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat), May inflation was recorded at 1.71 percent. With this figure, the cumulative inflation for the five-month period from January to May reached 16.60 percent. The official monthly inflation rates recorded in the first five months of the year are as follows:
- January: 4.84 percent
- February: 2.96 percent
- March: 1.94 percent
- April: 4.18 percent
- May: 1.71 percent
JUNE FORECAST ARRIVED: 6-MONTH RAISE LIMIT APPROACHES 18 PERCENT
According to the Central Bank's June 2026 Market Participants Survey, the monthly inflation expectation for June is calculated at 1.36 percent. It is also anticipated that this rate could be reduced to around 1 percent through the steps taken by the economic administration and market dynamics. In light of these forecasts, the six-month cumulative inflation is expected to settle between 17.50 percent and 18 percent. SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees will receive a raise directly proportional to this six-month rate.
CRITICAL THRESHOLD FOR THE LOWEST RETIREE PENSION: 23,500 TL
If the six-month inflation reaches the 18 percent limit, a new legal regulation will come into effect as the current base pension of 20,000 TL erodes. It is planned to increase the net amount to 23,500 TL by providing approximately 3,500 TL in support to the lowest retiree pension through an across-the-board increase or base pension formula.
NEW ADJUSTMENT ALSO FOR CIVIL SERVANTS AND RETIRED CIVIL SERVANTS
For civil servants and retired civil servants, who will receive an inflation difference in addition to the collective bargaining raise as per current legislation, the five-month cumulative raise rate has been finalized at 12.40 percent.
According to expectations that will take their final shape with the June data, the new salary table is projected as follows:
The exact raise rates that will determine the purchasing power of millions will become official at the beginning of July when TurkStat announces the June inflation data.