Fenerbahçe's chances of qualifying for the Champions League have been determined.

Fenerbahçe's chances of qualifying for the Champions League have been determined.

19.08.2026 13:51

After Fenerbahçe drew 1-1 with Olympique Lyonnais in the UEFA Champions League play-off round, attention turned to the return leg in France. According to Football Meets Data's simulation, the yellow-navy side's probability of eliminating Lyon and advancing to the Champions League league phase was calculated at 40 percent.

Fenerbahçe hosted the French team Olympique Lyon at home in the first match of the UEFA Champions League play-off round. The match, which started at 22:00 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Sports Complex, ended 1-1 with goals from both sides. With this result, the team that will advance to the Champions League league stage will be determined in the rematch in France.

Fenerbahçe Lyon match image

REMATCH ON AUGUST 26

The critical rematch between Lyon and Fenerbahçe will be played on Wednesday, August 26, at 22:00 Turkish Time. Following the rematch, the team that advances will earn the right to compete in the league stage of the UEFA Champions League.

Fenerbahçe Champions League match image

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE CALCULATED FENERBAHÇE'S CHANCES

After the first match ended 1-1, Fenerbahçe's chances of advancing also became a topic of curiosity. The data site Football Meets Data published its simulation regarding the Lyon-Fenerbahçe matchup. According to the calculation, Fenerbahçe's probability of eliminating Lyon and qualifying for the Champions League was determined as 40 percent.

8TH DRAW AGAINST FRENCH TEAMS

With the Lyon match, Fenerbahçe played its 26th official match against French teams. The yellow-navy team faced Nice and Lyon the most. Fenerbahçe, which competed against both teams 6 times each, also faced Lille, Bordeaux, Cannes, Marseille, Monaco, and Rennes. The Canary recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses in 26 matches against French representatives.

Fenerbahçe fans match image

NO LOSS IN LAST 8 MATCHES IN KADIKÖY

Fenerbahçe continued its unbeaten streak at home against French teams in the match against Lyon as well. The yellow-navy team did not suffer a defeat in its last 8 matches played against French teams in Kadıköy. During this period, Fenerbahçe hosted Lyon and Lille twice each, and also hosted Marseille, Rennes, and Nice at home. The Canary's last home defeat against French teams was a 3-1 loss to Lyon on October 19, 2004.

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