02.10.2025 14:41
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, in his speech at the opening of the 4th Legislative Year of the 28th Term of the Grand National Assembly of Turkey (TBMM), stated that they expect the inflation rate at the end of 2025 to be in the range of 29-30 percent. This statement also provided clues about the rate of increases to be made to civil servant and pensioner salaries in January. Here are the calculated increase rates following Erdoğan's remarks...
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In his speech at the opening of the 4th Legislative Year of the 28th Term of the Grand National Assembly of Turkey, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan stated that they expect the inflation at the end of 2025 to be in the range of 29%–30%.
Erdoğan said, "Our priority is to permanently solve the cost of living problem for our people. In August, we reached an important turning point by seeing the lowest inflation in the last 45 months. We plan to reduce inflation to below 30% by the end of this year and to below 20% in 2026."
INCREASE RATES CALCULATED
The President's statements provided clues about the increase rates for civil servant and retiree salaries that will be implemented in January. Social Security Expert Özgür Erdursun calculated the January increases based on the inflation estimates indicated by Erdoğan.
INCREASES ACCORDING TO TWO SCENARIOS
If the year-end inflation is 29%:
- SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees → %10.57
- Civil servants and civil servant retirees → %16.89 (inflation difference + collective agreement)
If the year-end inflation is 30%:
- SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees → %11.43
- Civil servants and civil servant retirees → %17.80 (inflation difference + collective agreement)
EXPECTATIONS FOCUSED ON JANUARY INCREASE
The exact increase rates will be clarified after the announcement of the year-end inflation data. However, the figures provided by President Erdoğan in his speech were considered a strong indication for the increase that retirees and civil servants will receive in January.
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