22.12.2025 13:15
As discussions arise in the U.S. press regarding a possible earthquake in Istanbul, Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş has issued a noteworthy warning. Bektaş stated, "Istanbul must be prepared for an earthquake greater than 7," explaining his reasons.
An analysis published in the US press regarding the anticipated major earthquake in Istanbul warned that "one of the worst humanitarian disasters in recent history could occur."
In the analysis written by volcanology expert Dr. Robin George Andrews, it was stated that the recent activity observed in the fault lines passing through the Sea of Marmara could lead to a major earthquake.
ALARMING WARNING FROM THE PROFESSOR
While the analysis of the Istanbul earthquake in the US press has sparked debates among scientists, Prof. Dr. Osman Bektaş made a striking warning on his social media account.
Prof. Dr. Bektaş, who warned that "Istanbul must be prepared for an earthquake greater than 7," also listed his reasons one by one. Here is Bektaş's post; "After 2004, the increasing scientific data regarding the behavior of the Main Marmara Fault has led to the evolution of the 'single-part, greater than 7 earthquake model' into a 'multi-part, smaller than 7 earthquake model.'
However,
- The most accurate prediction cannot exceed 60% accuracy.
- Scientific algorithms do not fully conform to Nature (earthquake parameters change in time/space).
- The earthquake risk of Istanbul (loss of life and property) is much higher than the earthquake hazard (probability of an earthquake occurring).
SUMMARY: The 2025 M6.2 earthquake and its results support multi-part fractures."