"Famous geologist issues earthquake warning of magnitude 7 for 6 provinces."

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Prof. Dr. Hasan Sözbilir from the Department of Geological Engineering at İzmir Dokuz Eylul University (DEÜ) has issued a frightening warning for 6 provinces.

"AMANOS SEGMENTS HAD BROKEN UP TO HATAY AIRPORT"

Evaluating the 5 magnitude earthquake that occurred in Elazığ on November 8, Sözbilir stated that the energy transfer at the ends of the broken fault has caused new earthquakes to be triggered, reminding that "The 6.8 magnitude earthquake in Elazığ on January 24, 2020, triggered by the breaking of the Pütürge segment of the East Anatolian Fault, led to the earthquakes in Maraş on February 6, 2023, three years later. In the first earthquake, the Erkenek, Pazarcık, Narlı, and Amanos segments, immediately southwest of the Pütürge fault, produced a 7.8 magnitude earthquake, breaking up to Hatay Airport."

Pointing out that this earthquake triggered the 6.4 magnitude Antakya-Defne earthquake south of Hatay Airport on February 20, 2023, Sözbilir said, "On October 16, 2024, a 5.9 magnitude Malatya-Kale earthquake occurred between the northern end of the surface rupture of the February 6 earthquake and the southern end of the surface rupture of January 24, 2020. About a month later, a new earthquake occurred in the Palu segment at the northeastern end of the Pütürge segment."

"NO DESTRUCTIVE LARGE EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED FOR OVER 200 YEARS"

Noting that the 5 magnitude earthquake in Elazığ on November 8 can be considered as an earthquake triggered by the Elazığ earthquake that occurred on the Pütürge segment in 2020, Sözbilir stated that the Pütürge segment of the East Anatolian Fault broke during the Elazığ earthquake in 2020.

Sözbilir said, "We know that the region has experienced destructive earthquakes of up to 7 in magnitude in 995, 1789, and 1874. However, the Palu segment has produced numerous earthquakes around 5 in magnitude at certain intervals over the last 100 years. The Palu segment has not produced a destructive large earthquake for over 200 years."

Sözbilir, who stated that "There are measurements indicating that the Palu segment is behaving in an aseismic manner. In other words, it is one of the faults expected to produce a large earthquake, classified as a seismic gap," added, "In addition, there is the Adıyaman fault that starts from the Palu district and progresses southwest towards Adıyaman province. We have determined that the Adıyaman fault is also an active fault. This fault has the potential to produce earthquakes of up to 7 in magnitude. Therefore, I think it is beneficial to continuously monitor the Adıyaman fault in terms of seismology and geodesy."

"STRESS ACCUMULATION CONTINUES ON FAULT SEGMENTS"

Pointing out that the Malatya fault and the Savrun and Saimbeyli faults continued to accumulate stress after the Çardak and Doğanşehir faults broke 9 hours after the 7.8 magnitude Kahramanmaraş earthquake on February 6, 2023, Prof. Dr. Sözbilir stated, "Similarly, stress accumulation continues on fault segments belonging to the Ölüdeniz fault, such as the Sakçagöz, Yesemek, and Hacıpaşa faults, south of the Narlı fault, which was partially broken during the February 6, 2023 earthquake."

Prof. Dr. Sözbilir stated, "Due to the presence of seismic sources that have not yet broken, urgent measures need to be taken for earthquake preparedness in the provinces of Bingöl, Adıyaman, Malatya, Gaziantep, Hatay, and Adana, and raising public awareness is also vitally important."