26.11.2025 10:10
According to the Central Bank's inflation forecasts, three different scenarios for the lowest pension increase are being calculated, and it is expected that the base monthly pension will rise from 16,881 TL to approximately 20,000 TL. The payments for about 4 million retirees whose base salary is below this amount will be adjusted to the newly determined minimum figure.
Regardless of what the base pension of retirees is, payments are not made below the minimum pension amount set by the government. For this practice, which concerns approximately 4 million retirees, three separate raise scenarios are being discussed for the new year. According to calculations, the minimum pension is expected to approach the level of 20,000 TL.
MINIMUM PENSION APPLICATION COVERS 4 MILLION RETIREES
The minimum pension support, which was initiated during the pandemic and made permanent, provides significant security, especially for low-income retirees. Under this application, the pensions of retirees whose calculated base pension falls below the minimum threshold set by the government are topped up to the minimum pension level. The minimum pension, updated every January and July, was last increased in July and started to be applied at 16,881 TL. This amount serves as the minimum payment for retirees.
3 DIFFERENT INFLATION SCENARIOS
For the new year raise, three separate scenarios are being considered based on the year-end inflation forecast of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey. The calculations foresee an increase in the minimum pension by the 6-month inflation rate.
Accordingly, the year-end inflation forecast:
- If it occurs at 31 percent, the minimum pension will rise to 18,954 TL,
- If it occurs at 32 percent, the minimum pension will rise to 19,100 TL,
- If it occurs at 33 percent, the minimum pension will rise to 19,243 TL.
These figures are considered as technical calculation scenarios, and it is stated that the final decision will be made by the government.
20,000 TL THRESHOLD COMES TO THE FORE
Based on the calculations and expectations, a figure close to 20,000 TL for the minimum pension is anticipated. After the possible increase, the pensions of all retirees whose base pension remains below this level will be topped up to the newly determined minimum pension amount. Thus, millions of low-paid retirees will continue to receive additional support through the minimum wage.