17.11.2025 20:42
It is reported that there is a negative outlook regarding the expectation of a general salary increase. While an increase of 18.5% to 20% based solely on collective bargaining and inflation differences is anticipated for civil servants and retired civil servants in the new year, it is stated that a general salary increase is not on the agenda.
As the new year approaches, calculations regarding the January raise for civil servants and retired civil servants have gained momentum. SGK Chief Advisor İsa Karakaş analyzed both inflation data and shared information reflecting the whispers from Ankara.
"THE PERIOD OF BEING BELOW INFLATION IS ENDING"
Reminding that the inflation rate for October was 2.55% monthly and 32.87% annually, Karakaş stated in his article in Türkiye Newspaper that it no longer seems possible for the year-end inflation to drop below 30%. He recalled that in recent years, civil servants and retirees received increases below the official inflation rate for three consecutive periods, and this time he indicated that such a situation would not occur, saying, "The period of being crushed under inflation is ending."
ACCORDING TO THE CALCULATION, RAISE RATES
According to the data shared by Karakaş, the cumulative inflation for the four months after October is at 10.25%.
- This rate has already been finalized for SSK and Bağ-Kur retirees.
- For civil servants and retired civil servants, the raise rate increases to 16.55% with an 11% collective bargaining increase.
Karakaş expressed that based on the current data, a 16.55% raise + a 1000 TL base increase seems certain.
EXPECTATION OF A RAISE BETWEEN 18.5%–20% IN JANUARY
Karakaş reported that if the Central Bank's year-end inflation forecast remains in the range of 31–33%, it is expected that civil servants and retirees will receive a raise between 18.5% and 20% in January, adding that due to the effect of the 1000 TL base increase, some retirees may see an increase of over 20%.
NO FLAT RAISE ON THE TABLE
Sharing backstage information regarding the expectation of a flat raise, Karakaş stated that the signals coming from Ankara are negative, saying, "Whatever is in the collective agreement is all there is. No welfare share or extra payment... Just a necessary update." He emphasized that the current impression is that there is no agenda for any additional improvement. As a result, Karakaş stated that civil servants and retired civil servants will receive a raise in the range of 18.5%–20% in January, but there will be no flat raise this year either.