They gave it a 4% chance! A shocking Champions League prediction for Galatasaray.

They gave it a 4% chance! A shocking Champions League prediction for Galatasaray.

27.11.2025 17:00

A total of 10,000 simulations were conducted for Galatasaray, which collected 9 points in the Champions League. According to Football Meets Data, the yellow-red team is expected to finish the group stage in 17th place. The probability of finishing in the top 24 is calculated at 93%, while the probability of finishing in the top 8 is estimated at 4%.

Galatasaray, which is participating in the new format of the UEFA Champions League for the first time, has shown a strong performance by collecting 9 points after 5 matches.

Although the series started with a 5-1 defeat to Frankfurt, the yellow-red team bounced back with victories against Liverpool (1-0), Bodo/Glimt (3-1), and Ajax (3-0). Most recently, Galatasaray lost 1-0 to Union SG at RAMS Park, putting their chances of finishing in the top 8 in jeopardy.

10,000 SIMULATIONS: GALATASARAY IN 17TH PLACE

The data analysis company Football Meets Data calculated how the league stage of the Champions League would end through 10,000 simulations.

According to the results:

  • Galatasaray will finish the league stage in 17th place
  • Probability of reaching the top 24: 93%
  • Probability of entering the top 8: 4%

According to this scenario, Galatasaray may face Premier League teams like Newcastle or Tottenham in the playoff round.

GALATASARAY'S REMAINING MATCHES

The yellow-reds have three critical matches left in the league stage:

  • Monaco (away)
  • Atletico Madrid (home)
  • Manchester City (away)

These three challenging matches will determine Galatasaray's ranking within the top 24 and their playoff matchup.

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