Surprising World Cup prediction for the National Team from artificial intelligence.

Surprising World Cup prediction for the National Team from artificial intelligence.

22.11.2025 11:40

After the draw for the 2026 World Cup playoff, the AI-powered simulation by Football Rankings calculated the probability of the national team qualifying for the finals. According to the AI, Turkey became the second country in Europe with the highest chance of participating in the World Cup, following Italy.

The semi-final of the 2026 World Cup play-off round took place with the match between Turkey and Romania. If the Crescent-Stars pass the semi-final, they will face the winner of the Slovakia-Kosovo match away in the final. Immediately after the draw, Football Rankings shared the probabilities generated by its artificial intelligence model.

IRAQ, ITALY, AND DEMOCRATIC CONGO IN THE TOP THREE

According to the artificial intelligence simulation, the teams with the highest probability of qualifying for the World Cup are as follows;

  • Iraq – %63

Iraq, which directly advanced to the play-off final, will face the winner of the Bolivia-Suriname match.

  • Italy – %62

Italy, which will play the semi-final against Northern Ireland, will face the winner of the Wales-Bosnia and Herzegovina match in the final if they advance.

  • Democratic Congo – %60

They will play against the winner of the New Caledonia-Jamaica match in the final.

TURKEY IN 4TH PLACE WITH A 52% CHANCE

The national team ranked 4th on the list as the second team with the highest probability from Europe. According to the simulation, Turkey's chance of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup is %52. This rate indicates that Turkey is seen as a strong candidate in the play-off route.

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