06.07.2026 12:50
As the excitement of the round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup continues at full speed, the renowned football data platform Football Meets Data mathematically calculated the championship chances of the remaining teams. According to advanced simulation results, France emerged as the number one favorite for the cup, while the ranking of the following countries drew attention.
After the breathtaking matches played last night in the World Cup, the new teams advancing to the quarterfinals have been determined. Norway, which surprisingly knocked Brazil out of the tournament, and England, which eliminated host Mexico, secured their places among the final eight teams and became each other's opponents in the quarterfinals. In another confirmed blockbuster quarterfinal matchup, Morocco, achieving a historic success, and France will compete for a semifinal ticket.
EYES ON THE REMAINING ROUND OF 16 MATCHES
The other critical round of 16 matchups, set to complete the quarterfinal table and keep football fans glued to their screens, are as follows:
- Portugal - Spain
- Belgium - USA
- Argentina - Egypt
- Switzerland - Colombia
FRANCE WITH MBAPPE AT THE TOP
As the round of 16 nears completion, the data company Football Meets Data, closely followed by the football world, updated the championship probabilities by analyzing teams' current form, squad quality, and potential opponent trees.
At the top of the mathematical simulation, France, led by Kylian Mbappe, stood with a significant rate of 26 percent. England, which became one of the strongest favorites of the tournament with its victory over Mexico, ranked second with 19 percent, while the current champion Argentina with Lionel Messi placed third with 13 percent.
Here are the Championship Percentages According to the Mathematical Simulation:
- France: 26% (Will face Morocco in the quarterfinals)
- England: 19% (Will face Norway in the quarterfinals)
- Argentina: 13% (Will play against Egypt in the round of 16)
- Spain: 12% (Will play against Portugal in the round of 16)
- Norway: 8% (Will face England in the quarterfinals)
- Morocco: 7% (Will face France in the quarterfinals)
- Portugal: 5% (Will play against Spain in the round of 16)
- Colombia: 3% (Will play against Switzerland in the round of 16)
- Belgium: 2% (Will play against USA in the round of 16)
- Switzerland: 2% (Will play against Colombia in the round of 16)
- USA: 2% (Will play against Belgium in the round of 16)
- Egypt: 1% (Will play against Argentina in the round of 16)