27.12.2025 12:15
According to the strongest scenario discussed behind the scenes, if the inflation rate for December comes close to the target, the increase rate for SSK and Bağkur retirees may be in the range of 12.5-14%, while the increase rate for civil servants and civil servant retirees could be shaped in the range of 18.70-20.50%. Based on this table, the lowest pension is expected to rise to between 19,000 and 19,250 TL, while the lowest civil servant retirement salary is anticipated to reach levels between 26,900 and 27,500 TL.
The minimum wage for 2026, which closely concerns millions of minimum wage earners and private sector employees, has been announced. A 27% increase has been made to the minimum wage, which is net 22,104 TL, starting from 2026. Thus, the net minimum wage rises to 28,075 TL, while the gross wage increases to 33,030 TL.
EYES ON THE FIRST WEEK OF JANUARY
Following the increase in the minimum wage, another topic on the agenda has been civil servant and pensioner salaries. With the announcement of the inflation data for December in the first week of January, the final increase rates for salaries are expected to become clear.
HOW ARE SALARY INCREASES CALCULATED?
Under normal circumstances, the 6-month inflation difference is directly reflected in the salaries of SSK and Bağkur retirees, while the increases for civil servants and civil servant retirees are calculated based on collective bargaining increases and inflation differences.
5-MONTH INCREASE RATE HAS ALREADY BECOME CLEAR
With the announcement of the inflation figures for November, the 5-month increase differences have also emerged. Accordingly, based on the 5-month data, the increase for SSK and Bağkur retirees has been calculated as 11.20%. The increase rate for civil servants and civil servant retirees is 17.56%.
INFLATION EXPECTATION: ANNUAL BETWEEN 31-33 PERCENT
In evaluations regarding the issue, Certified Public Accountant Ahmet Kurtuluş stated that inflation generally remained above 2% monthly in the second half of the year, and that it was surprising for November to come in below 1%. Expressing that the target for December is 1.61%, Kurtuluş noted that if the realization is close to this level, the annual inflation could be in the range of 31-33%.
EXPECTATION OF INCREASE FOR SSK AND BAĞKUR RETIREES
Kurtuluş mentioned that the inflation difference for SSK and Bağkur retirees for the second half of 2025 could be between 12.5% and 14%. Additionally, he pointed out that the possibility of a welfare share increase has frequently come up, stating that they do not expect a welfare share increase, and that salaries will be determined based on whatever inflation rate is announced.
CIVIL SERVANTS AND CIVIL SERVANT RETIREES
Kurtuluş emphasized that the calculation for civil servants and civil servant retirees is different, reminding that in addition to the inflation difference, a collective bargaining increase is also received. He stated that with the November inflation, the 17.55% increase has become guaranteed, and he predicted that with the December inflation, the increase rate could rise to between 18.70% and 20.50%.
NUMBERS ON THE TABLE FOR THE LOWEST RETIREMENT SALARY
Kurtuluş also made evaluations regarding the lowest retirement salaries, recalling that in previous periods, the lowest salaries were generally determined to be close to or slightly above the increase rate. Accordingly, he expressed that the lowest SSK and Bağkur retirement salary could rise from 16,881 TL to a range of 19,000-19,250 TL with an increase of 12.5-14%. He stated that the lowest civil servant retirement salary could increase from 22,671 TL to levels between 26,900-27,500 TL with an increase of 18.70-20.50%.