The parties have left the table, so what will happen now? The US is faced with 2 options.

The parties have left the table, so what will happen now? The US is faced with 2 options.

12.04.2026 11:30

U.S. Vice President JD Vance's 21-hour negotiations regarding Iran's nuclear program ended without an agreement. The deadlock in the process brought the Trump administration to the brink of a critical decision. Washington faces the choice of either entering into a long-term negotiation process with Tehran or risking a new conflict that could affect the Strait of Hormuz and lead to a global energy crisis.

The failure to reach a conclusion in the critical negotiations lasting 21 hours between the US and Iran has plunged the Washington administration into a difficult decision-making process. With the talks led by US Vice President JD Vance hitting a deadlock, the White House is left with two main options: a long-term diplomatic process or a harsh military scenario that could reignite regional war.

TRUMP ADMINISTRATION AT A CRITICAL DECISION STAGE

In the recent meeting between US President Donald Trump and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, the Iran issue became the top agenda item. Following the meeting, it was stated that Washington has limited options left.

White House officials announced that the final decision would be revealed by Trump after evaluations to be held in Florida over the weekend. It was emphasized that every option the administration faces carries serious political and strategic risks.

NO RESULTS FROM 21-HOUR TALKS

In the contacts JD Vance had with Iranian officials, no consensus was reached on key issues. Vance summarized the reason for the deadlock by stating, “We clearly laid out our red lines, but Iran preferred not to accept these conditions.”

The US side presented a proposal that included the complete termination of Iran's nuclear program. Tehran rejected this demand and put its own proposal on the table. The negotiations stalled as neither side took a step back.

MILITARY PRESSURE YIELDED NO RESULTS

Following the inconclusive talks in Geneva in February, the extensive attacks launched by the US against Iran also did not yield the expected results. According to Pentagon data, despite 38 days of operations targeting over 13,000 sites, Iran did not back down.

The Tehran administration clearly stated that military pressure would not change its decisions.

IRAN'S MESSAGE OF DETERMINATION

The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs emphasized in a statement after the talks that the country would not back down regarding its nuclear program. The statement said, “Our determination to defend the interests and rights of our nation has strengthened even further.”

Iran rejected the demands for the complete termination of nuclear activities, considering them a matter of sovereign rights.

THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ AT THE CENTER OF THE CRISIS

One of the most critical topics of the negotiations was the Strait of Hormuz. While Iran made the control and security of the strait a priority agenda item, no consensus was reached with the US on this issue either.

Experts believe that a potential conflict could deeply shake global energy markets. Previous crises in the Strait of Hormuz, which disrupted about 20% of global oil supply, had led to serious economic fluctuations worldwide.

TWO OPTIONS ON THE TABLE: LONG NEGOTIATION OR WAR

According to an analysis by The New York Times, the US administration will either enter a new negotiation process with Iran that could last for years or take the risk of a large-scale conflict that includes control of the Strait of Hormuz.

The maintenance of the current positions by the parties weakens the likelihood of a new consensus in the short term, indicating that tensions in the region will continue.

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